Something to consider: Since 2003, the Patriots are 21-1 at home in October and won their last 13 division games there. They also have four straight defeats of Miami at Gillette Stadium.
Washington at Denver
The time: 4:25 p.m. ET
The line: Broncos by 12-1/2
The story: Neither of these teams plays defense, which means this could be another one of those 45-41 games Washington won last week. Robert Griffin III looks like RG3 again, and Peyton Manning is Peyton Manning. Except ... except he wasn't himself after getting blind-sided by Robert Mathis last weekend, and he missed Wednesday's practice.
OK, so he returned to workouts Thursday and Friday, and coach John Fox said he looked fine. Nevertheless, missing a day tells you something could be wrong and that maybe, just maybe, Washington has a chance.
It's not just that Washington finally won a game; it's that the Redskins won it in the last 45 seconds and produced 209 yards rushing -- including a season-high 84 by Griffin. That was vintage RG3 from a year ago, and maybe it signals his return and the return of a team that last year won the NFC East.
The problem, of course, is that Denver is better, and Denver is home. Plus, Manning lost only once in 12 home games since signing with the Broncos. Then there's this: The Redskins' defense has more holes than the 14th St. Bridge, with Washington ranked in the bottom quarter of 11 defensive categories, including 29th in passing yards per play.
Something to consider: This is the eighth time a former Denver head coach will face his former team, and the fifth time one did it in Denver. The group is 2-5 vs. the Broncos and 1-3 in Denver.
MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Seattle at St. Louis
The time: 8:40 p.m., ET
The line: Seahawks by 10-1/2
The story: With last week's loss at Carolina, the Rams' season went kaput. Not only did they lose to a perennial bottom feeder, they subtracted quarterback Sam Bradford for the season.
No, I'm not confident Kellen Clemens can get these guys out of their funk, and, apparently, the Rams aren't either. First, they discussed Tim Tebow. Then, they called Brett Favre this week.
"There's no way in hell," Favre told them.
Which is another way of characterizing the Rams' chances here. They haven't played well on either side of the ball, Clemens is under center and the Seahawks are beginning to look like what they were supposed to be -- a dominant ballclub and one that can win on the road.
The evidence? They're 3-1 away from home.
Something to consider: Seattle's Russell Wilson has won his last five vs. the NFC West, with 10 touchdowns, three interceptions and a passer rating of 113.7. When Wilson has a rating of 100 or better the Seahawks are 11-1.
CRUMMY GAME OF THE WEEK
San Francisco at Jacksonville (London)
The time: 1 p.m., ET
The line: 49ers by 16-1/2
The story: Check out that point spread. Las Vegas is telling you what you already know: This one's a dead-bolt cinch. The 49ers won their last four. The Jags haven't won, period. And nobody believes that moving the game to another continent changes anything.